Wintry weather on tap for Utah this fall? Don’t hold your breathĪmong other prediction wins, the Almanac brags that it predicted the Northeast’s February 2022 blizzard, “which isn’t a term we throw around lightly.”.Good at predicting?Īs for how good the predictions are, the almanac staff hedges a little, noting that “many longtime almanac followers maintain that our forecasts are 80% to 85% accurate.” The publication doesn’t actually offer its own quantification of successful prognostication, though it mentions some of its victories. The National Weather Service issues its own three-month “probability forecast” every month. The Almanac’s been at it longer than the National Weather Service, it adds. Think sunspots, the moon-influenced tides and other things, it adds - all the tools of a “weather prognosticator” who uses the fake name Caleb Weatherbee. These rules have been altered slightly and turned into a formula that is both mathematical and astronomical,” it says. What they will admit to is using a specific and reliable set of rules that were developed back in 1818 by astronomer and mathemetician, David Young, the almanac’s first editor. “The editors of the ‘Farmers’ Almanac’ firmly deny using any type of computer satellite tracking equipment, weather lore, or groundhogs. That huge swath in the middle of the country? The Farmers’ Almanac predicts a “hibernation zone” that’s “glacial and snow-filled.”Īccording to its website, the Farmers’ Almanac has been predicting weather since 1818, boasting it offers uniquely long-range predictions, stretching out 16 months, the calculations made two years in advance. Utah, Nevada, California and Arizona are included in the “mild, drier than normal category,” while Washington, Oregon and Idaho are labeled “brisk, normal precipitation.” Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana and Arkansas should be “chilly with normal precipitation.” New England’s prediction is “significant shivers: slushy, icy, snowy,” while the Great Lakes area is expected to be “unreasonably cold and snowy,” down to the southern Gulf states, including Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia, where the forecast is “shivery, wet and slushy.” “The Far West and the Pacific Northwest will see about-normal winter precipitation however, the Southwest will experience less than normal,” it says. Not everyone will receive the icy blast, though, according to the prediction. Mid-January is likely to bring “heavy rain and snow across the eastern two-thirds of the country,” then the a blast of exceedingly cold arctic air - as low as “40 degrees below zero.”
Predictions include big storms in early January in the Rockies and across the Plains, with “heavy snow that may reach as far south as Texas and Oklahoma, followed by a sweep of bitterly cold air.” in December and lingering all season in the eastern half of the country. The News & Observer notes that “after a brutally hot summer, our recent slightly cooler temperatures have some people looking forward to even cooler weather the coming fall and winter seasons will bring.”įor those folks, the almanac’s prediction is good news: Winter’s likely to pop in early and linger, the almanac says, with storms and cold predicted across the continental U.S. The storied old journal’s extended weather forecast predicts “plenty of snow, rain and mush - as well as some record-breaking cold temperatures! We are warning readers to get ready to ‘Shake, shiver and shovel!’” Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers’ Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States.
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